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My Favorite Match of LAIC - November Reaction Video

🕑 Added 2024-11-30 18:57:55 +0000 UTC

Comments

Marco Gómez

this is not related to the post but im watching toronto regionals and was wondering what are you writing in your notes? :)

Jacob Levin

11:00 or so- this is Bayes' Theorem and it's a bit complex to apply here, but I'd describe it as: CONDITIONAL on your electabuzz being either slower or tied, the observation that your electabuzz got grassy terrain 2nd twice makes it 1/4x as likely that yours is tied and not slower. Let's say 40% of the time your buzz is slower, 40% it is faster, and 20% it is tied with enemy buzz heading into the match. We know faster is impossible; there is a 20/(20+40)=1/3 chance yours is tied before taking the "healing second twice" into account, and the healing second twice drops this to 1/12. Love the content Wolfe I learn a lot from this type of analysis!


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